KalshiPolitics

Peak Strait of Hormuz traffic day? (8/24 - 8/30)

8/24 - 8/30

Ends Sep 1, 2026

Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

August 24132.8 VOL.
Yes 10%No 90%
10¢
August 25798.9 VOL.
Yes 8%No 92%
8¢
August 26830.3 VOL.
Yes 11%No 89%
11¢
August 27450.5 VOL.
Yes 25%No 75%
25¢
August 281K VOL.
Yes 25%No 75%
25¢

Rules Summary

If Aug 24, 2026 is the date with the highest number of transit calls through the Strait of Hormuz as reported by the IMF PortWatch in the listed week, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened: Aug 21, 2026, 4:00 PM
Closes: Sep 1, 2026, 1:00 PM
Pays out: 0.5 hours after close

Series KXHORMUZMAX · Event KXHORMUZMAX-26AUG30 · Market KXHORMUZMAX-26AUG30-AUG24