KalshiElections
Oklahoma Senate margin of victory
On November 3, 2026
Ends Nov 3, 2027
Bet NowDisclosure
18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.
Probability
- Republicans, 17+ pts0 VOL.Yes 0%No 100%0¢
- Republicans, 19+ pts74.6 VOL.Yes 83%No 17%83¢
- Republicans, 21+ pts41.5 VOL.Yes 74%No 26%74¢
- Republicans, 23+ pts58.6 VOL.Yes 63%No 37%63¢
- Republicans, 25+ pts42.9 VOL.Yes 52%No 48%52¢
Rules Summary
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Oklahoma by 17 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
Timeline and Payout
- Opened
- Apr 28, 2026, 1:03 AM
- Closes
- Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
- Pays out
- 0.5 hours after close
Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-OKSENR · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-OKSENR-P17

