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KalshiElections

North Carolina Senate margin of victory

On November 3, 2026

Ends Nov 3, 2027

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Republicans, 1+ pts9.3K VOL.
    Yes 11%No 89%
    11¢
  • Republicans, 3+ pts3.7K VOL.
    Yes 7%No 93%
    7¢

Rules Summary

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in North Carolina by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 1:02 AM
Closes
Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-NCSENR · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-NCSENR-P1