KalshiElections
North Carolina's 11th District margin of victory
North Carolina's 11th District
Ends Nov 3, 2027
Bet NowDisclosure
18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.
Probability
- Republicans, 2+ pts30 VOL.Yes 27%No 73%27¢
- Republicans, 5+ pts0 VOL.Yes 0%No 100%0¢
- Republicans, 8+ pts800 VOL.Yes 16%No 84%16¢
- Republicans, 11+ pts300 VOL.Yes 10%No 90%10¢
- Republicans, 14+ pts0 VOL.Yes 0%No 100%0¢
Rules Summary
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in North Carolina's 11th District by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
Timeline and Payout
- Opened
- May 5, 2026, 8:21 PM
- Closes
- Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
- Pays out
- 0.5 hours after close
Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-NC11R · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-NC11R-P2

