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Nobel Prize in Literature: 2026

In 2026

Ends Oct 10, 2026

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Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Haruki Murakami246.1 VOL.
  • Margaret Atwood75.6 VOL.
  • Can Xue433.3 VOL.
  • Amitav Ghosh32.2 VOL.
  • Mircea Cărtărescu22.1 VOL.

Rules Summary

If Haruki Murakami has won the 2026 Nobel Prize in Literature, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Jul 1, 2026, 1:00 AM
Closes
Oct 10, 2026, 3:59 AM
Pays out
1 hour after close

Series KXNOBELLIT · Event KXNOBELLIT-26 · Market KXNOBELLIT-26-HAR