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KalshiElections

New York's 21st District margin of victory

New York's 21st District

Ends Nov 3, 2027

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Republicans, 3+ pts16.8 VOL.
    Yes 66%No 34%
    66¢
  • Republicans, 6+ pts209.6 VOL.
    Yes 63%No 37%
    63¢
  • Republicans, 9+ pts336.5 VOL.
    Yes 46%No 54%
    46¢
  • Republicans, 12+ pts1.4K VOL.
    Yes 33%No 67%
    33¢
  • Republicans, 15+ pts800 VOL.
    Yes 27%No 73%
    27¢

Rules Summary

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in New York's 21st District by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
May 5, 2026, 8:24 PM
Closes
Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-NY21R · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-NY21R-P3