KalshiPolitics

New Supreme Court justice confirmed?

In 2025

Ends Oct 1, 2026

Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

Before Oct 1, 202617.4K VOL.
Yes 1%No 99%
1¢
Before 2027173K VOL.
Yes 11%No 89%
11¢
Before June 20279.1K VOL.
Yes 22%No 78%
22¢
Before 20283.1K VOL.
Yes 57%No 43%
57¢
Before Jan 21, 2029668.9 VOL.
Yes 75%No 25%
75¢

Rules Summary

If the Senate confirms a new justice to the Supreme Court between Issuance and September 30, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened: Jun 30, 2026, 4:00 PM
Closes: Oct 1, 2026, 2:00 PM
Pays out: 1 hour after close

Series KXSCOTUSN · Event KXSCOTUSN-25DEC31 · Market KXSCOTUSN-25DEC31-26OCT