KalshiElections
New Mexico Senate margin of victory
On November 3, 2026
Ends Nov 3, 2027
Bet NowDisclosure
18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.
- Democrats, 9+ pts255 VOL.Yes 84%No 16%84¢
- Democrats, 11+ pts341.8 VOL.Yes 80%No 20%80¢
- Democrats, 13+ pts271 VOL.Yes 73%No 27%73¢
- Democrats, 15+ pts220 VOL.Yes 67%No 33%67¢
- Democrats, 17+ pts379 VOL.Yes 58%No 42%58¢
Rules Summary
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in New Mexico by 9 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
Timeline and Payout
- Opened
- Apr 28, 2026, 1:03 AM
- Closes
- Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
- Pays out
- 0.5 hours after close
Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-NMSEND · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-NMSEND-P9

