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KalshiElections

Nevada's 4th District margin of victory

Nevada's 4th District

Ends Nov 3, 2027

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Democrats, 1+ pts3.5K VOL.
    Yes 92%No 9%
    92¢
  • Democrats, 4+ pts181 VOL.
    Yes 80%No 20%
    80¢
  • Democrats, 7+ pts625 VOL.
    Yes 66%No 34%
    66¢
  • Democrats, 10+ pts131 VOL.
    Yes 43%No 57%
    43¢
  • Democrats, 13+ pts5K VOL.
    Yes 38%No 62%
    38¢

Rules Summary

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Nevada's 4th District by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
May 5, 2026, 8:20 PM
Closes
Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-NV04D · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-NV04D-P1