KalshiElections
Missouri's 5th District margin of victory
Missouri's 5th District
Ends Nov 3, 2027
Bet NowDisclosure
18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.
- Republicans, 3+ pts1.2K VOL.Yes 22%No 78%22¢
- Republicans, 6+ pts2.1K VOL.Yes 33%No 67%33¢
- Republicans, 9+ pts2K VOL.Yes 23%No 77%23¢
- Republicans, 12+ pts387.5 VOL.Yes 4%No 96%4¢
- Republicans, 15+ pts267 VOL.Yes 1%No 99%1¢
Rules Summary
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Missouri's 5th District by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
Timeline and Payout
- Opened
- May 5, 2026, 8:21 PM
- Closes
- Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
- Pays out
- 0.5 hours after close
Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-MO05R · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-MO05R-P3

