KalshiElections

Michigan Senate margin of victory

On November 3, 2026

Ends Nov 3, 2027

Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Democrats, 1+ pts4.7K VOL.
Yes 59%No 41%
59¢
Democrats, 3+ pts19.3K VOL.
Yes 46%No 54%
46¢
Democrats, 5+ pts13.8K VOL.
Yes 28%No 72%
28¢
Democrats, 7+ pts8.9K VOL.
Yes 6%No 94%
6¢
Democrats, 9+ pts2.4K VOL.
Yes 4%No 96%
4¢

Rules Summary

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Michigan by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened: Apr 28, 2026, 1:02 AM
Closes: Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
Pays out: 0.5 hours after close

Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-MISEND · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-MISEND-P1