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KalshiElections

Michigan's 8th District margin of victory

Michigan's 8th District

Ends Nov 3, 2027

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Democrats, 2+ pts1.4K VOL.
    Yes 91%No 9%
    91¢
  • Democrats, 5+ pts0 VOL.
    Yes 0%No 100%
    0¢
  • Democrats, 8+ pts511.4 VOL.
    Yes 87%No 13%
    87¢
  • Democrats, 11+ pts1.1K VOL.
    Yes 67%No 33%
    67¢
  • Democrats, 14+ pts15 VOL.
    Yes 60%No 40%
    60¢

Rules Summary

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Michigan's 8th District by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
May 5, 2026, 8:20 PM
Closes
Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-MI08D · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-MI08D-P2