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KalshiElections

Michigan's 4th District margin of victory

Michigan's 4th District

Ends Nov 3, 2027

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

  • Republicans, 2+ pts2.8K VOL.
    Yes 56%No 44%
    56¢
  • Republicans, 5+ pts2.5K VOL.
    Yes 36%No 64%
    36¢
  • Republicans, 8+ pts1.4K VOL.
    Yes 21%No 79%
    21¢
  • Republicans, 11+ pts0 VOL.
    Yes 0%No 100%
    0¢
  • Republicans, 14+ pts0 VOL.
    Yes 0%No 100%
    0¢

Rules Summary

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Michigan's 4th District by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
May 5, 2026, 8:20 PM
Closes
Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-MI04R · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-MI04R-P2