KalshiElections
Michigan's 3rd District margin of victory
Michigan's 3rd District
Ends Nov 3, 2027
Bet NowDisclosure
18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.
Probability
- Democrats, 4+ pts5 VOL.Yes 81%No 19%81¢
- Democrats, 7+ pts0 VOL.Yes 0%No 100%0¢
- Democrats, 10+ pts800 VOL.Yes 77%No 23%77¢
- Democrats, 13+ pts800 VOL.Yes 63%No 37%63¢
- Democrats, 16+ pts730 VOL.Yes 64%No 36%64¢
Rules Summary
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Michigan's 3rd District by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
Timeline and Payout
- Opened
- May 5, 2026, 8:20 PM
- Closes
- Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
- Pays out
- 0.5 hours after close
Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-MI03D · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-MI03D-P4