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KalshiElections

Michigan's 1st District margin of victory

Michigan's 1st District

Ends Nov 3, 2027

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Republicans, 4+ pts3.2K VOL.
    Yes 73%No 27%
    73¢
  • Republicans, 7+ pts3.7K VOL.
    Yes 67%No 33%
    67¢
  • Republicans, 10+ pts3.9K VOL.
    Yes 48%No 52%
    48¢
  • Republicans, 13+ pts4.8K VOL.
    Yes 44%No 56%
    44¢
  • Republicans, 16+ pts5K VOL.
    Yes 34%No 66%
    34¢

Rules Summary

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Michigan's 1st District by 4 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
May 5, 2026, 8:23 PM
Closes
Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-MI01R · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-MI01R-P4