KalshiElections
Michigan Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?
On Aug 4, 2026
Ends Aug 25, 2026
Bet NowDisclosure
18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.
Probability
- Abdul El-Sayed, 0-3%736.5K VOL.Yes 99%No 1%99¢
- Abdul El-Sayed, 3-6%766.8K VOL.Yes 1%No 99%1¢
- Abdul El-Sayed, 6-9%634.1K VOL.Yes 1%No 99%1¢
- Abdul El-Sayed, 9-12%365K VOL.Yes 1%No 99%1¢
- Abdul El-Sayed, 12-15%422K VOL.Yes 1%No 99%1¢
Rules Summary
If the margin of victory for Abdul El-Sayed in the 2026 Michigan Democratic Senate primary falls within 0% to 3%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
Timeline and Payout
- Opened
- Jun 8, 2026, 5:30 PM
- Closes
- Aug 25, 2026, 12:11 AM
- Pays out
- 0.5 hours after close
Series KXPRIMARYMOV · Event KXPRIMARYMOV-KXSENATEMID26 · Market KXPRIMARYMOV-KXSENATEMID26-AELS-P1