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KalshiElections

MI-07 Democratic primary margin of victory?

On Aug 4, 2026

Ends Aug 4, 2027

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

  • William Lawrence, ≥3%2.4K VOL.
  • William Lawrence, ≥6%3.1K VOL.
  • William Lawrence, ≥9%4.3K VOL.
  • William Lawrence, ≥12%7.2K VOL.
  • William Lawrence, ≥15%7K VOL.

Rules Summary

If the margin of victory for William Lawrence in the 2026 MI-07 Democratic primary falls within 3% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Aug 3, 2026, 3:23 PM
Closes
Aug 4, 2027, 2:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXPRIMARYMOV · Event KXPRIMARYMOV-MIPRIMARY07D26 · Market KXPRIMARYMOV-MIPRIMARY07D26-WLAW-P51