KalshiElections
Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary margin of victory?
On Sep 1, 2026
Ends Sep 9, 2026
Bet NowDisclosure
18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.
Probability
- Ed Markey, 0-4%7.1K VOL.Yes 1%No 99%1¢
- Ed Markey, 4-8%7K VOL.Yes 1%No 99%1¢
- Ed Markey, 8-12%6.7K VOL.Yes 1%No 99%1¢
- Ed Markey, 12-16%5.7K VOL.Yes 1%No 99%1¢
- Ed Markey, 16-20%9.7K VOL.Yes 1%No 99%1¢
Rules Summary
If the margin of victory for Ed Markey in the 2026 Massachusetts Democratic Senate primary falls within 0% to 4%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
Timeline and Payout
- Opened
- Jun 17, 2026, 3:01 PM
- Closes
- Sep 9, 2026, 10:49 PM
- Pays out
- 0.5 hours after close
Series KXPRIMARYMOV · Event KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26 · Market KXPRIMARYMOV-SENATEMAD26-EMAR-P2