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KalshiElections

Maryland's 6th District margin of victory

Maryland's 6th District

Ends Nov 3, 2027

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Democrats, 3+ pts505 VOL.
    Yes 91%No 9%
    91¢
  • Democrats, 6+ pts910 VOL.
    Yes 84%No 16%
    84¢
  • Democrats, 9+ pts272.1 VOL.
    Yes 74%No 26%
    74¢
  • Democrats, 12+ pts832 VOL.
    Yes 64%No 36%
    64¢
  • Democrats, 15+ pts605 VOL.
    Yes 40%No 60%
    40¢

Rules Summary

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Maryland's 6th District by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
May 5, 2026, 8:23 PM
Closes
Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-MD06D · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-MD06D-P3