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KalshiElections

Maryland's 1st District margin of victory

Maryland's 1st District

Ends Nov 3, 2027

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Republicans, 2+ pts1.2K VOL.
    Yes 84%No 16%
    84¢
  • Republicans, 5+ pts916.7 VOL.
    Yes 70%No 30%
    70¢
  • Republicans, 8+ pts948.8 VOL.
    Yes 54%No 46%
    54¢
  • Republicans, 11+ pts155.5 VOL.
    Yes 41%No 59%
    41¢
  • Republicans, 14+ pts25.6 VOL.
    Yes 26%No 74%
    26¢

Rules Summary

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Maryland's 1st District by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
May 5, 2026, 8:23 PM
Closes
Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-MD01R · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-MD01R-P2