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KalshiElections

Maine Senate margin of victory

On November 3, 2026

Ends Nov 3, 2027

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Republicans, 1+ pts7.7K VOL.
    Yes 32%No 68%
    32¢
  • Republicans, 3+ pts5.9K VOL.
    Yes 27%No 73%
    27¢
  • Republicans, 5+ pts7.7K VOL.
    Yes 13%No 87%
    13¢
  • Republicans, 7+ pts8.2K VOL.
    Yes 7%No 93%
    7¢

Rules Summary

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Maine by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 1:02 AM
Closes
Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-MESENR · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-MESENR-P1