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KalshiElections

Maine Senate margin of victory

On November 3, 2026

Ends Nov 3, 2027

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Democrats, 1+ pts53.6K VOL.
    Yes 58%No 42%
    58¢
  • Democrats, 3+ pts37.1K VOL.
    Yes 41%No 59%
    41¢
  • Democrats, 5+ pts21.1K VOL.
    Yes 29%No 71%
    29¢
  • Democrats, 7+ pts10.8K VOL.
    Yes 22%No 78%
    22¢
  • Democrats, 9+ pts7.7K VOL.
    Yes 12%No 88%
    12¢

Rules Summary

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Maine by 1 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 1:02 AM
Closes
Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-MESEND · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-MESEND-P1