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KalshiElections

Maine's 2nd District margin of victory

Maine's 2nd District

Ends Nov 3, 2027

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Republicans, 3+ pts1.8K VOL.
    Yes 48%No 52%
    48¢
  • Republicans, 6+ pts1.4K VOL.
    Yes 34%No 66%
    34¢
  • Republicans, 9+ pts1.9K VOL.
    Yes 28%No 72%
    28¢
  • Republicans, 12+ pts0 VOL.
    Yes 0%No 100%
    0¢

Rules Summary

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Maine's 2nd District by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
May 5, 2026, 8:20 PM
Closes
Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-ME02R · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-ME02R-P3