KalshiElections
Maine's 2nd District margin of victory
Maine's 2nd District
Ends Nov 3, 2027
Bet NowDisclosure
18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.
Probability
- Democrats, 3+ pts964.9 VOL.Yes 28%No 72%28¢
- Democrats, 6+ pts1.7K VOL.Yes 24%No 76%24¢
- Democrats, 9+ pts48 VOL.Yes 11%No 89%11¢
- Democrats, 12+ pts1.5K VOL.Yes 4%No 96%4¢
Rules Summary
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Maine's 2nd District by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
Timeline and Payout
- Opened
- May 5, 2026, 8:20 PM
- Closes
- Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
- Pays out
- 0.5 hours after close
Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-ME02D · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-ME02D-P3

