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KalshiElections

Maine's 2nd District margin of victory

Maine's 2nd District

Ends Nov 3, 2027

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Democrats, 3+ pts964.9 VOL.
    Yes 28%No 72%
    28¢
  • Democrats, 6+ pts1.7K VOL.
    Yes 24%No 76%
    24¢
  • Democrats, 9+ pts48 VOL.
    Yes 11%No 89%
    11¢
  • Democrats, 12+ pts1.5K VOL.
    Yes 4%No 96%

Rules Summary

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Maine's 2nd District by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
May 5, 2026, 8:20 PM
Closes
Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-ME02D · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-ME02D-P3