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KalshiElections

Maine Governor margin of victory

Maine Governor

Ends Nov 3, 2027

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Democrats, 3+ pts13.1 VOL.
    Yes 90%No 10%
    90¢
  • Democrats, 6+ pts76.8 VOL.
    Yes 61%No 39%
    61¢
  • Democrats, 9+ pts1.8K VOL.
    Yes 62%No 38%
    62¢
  • Democrats, 12+ pts0 VOL.
    Yes 0%No 100%
    0¢
  • Democrats, 15+ pts100.2 VOL.
    Yes 37%No 63%
    37¢

Rules Summary

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Maine by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 2:00 PM
Closes
Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-MEGOVD · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-MEGOVD-P3