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KalshiElections

Louisiana's 5th District margin of victory

Louisiana's 5th District

Ends Nov 3, 2027

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Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Republicans, 18+ pts0 VOL.
    Yes 0%No 100%
    0¢
  • Republicans, 21+ pts0 VOL.
    Yes 0%No 100%
    0¢
  • Republicans, 24+ pts0 VOL.
    Yes 0%No 100%
    0¢
  • Republicans, 27+ pts17.9 VOL.
    Yes 54%No 46%
    54¢
  • Republicans, 30+ pts0 VOL.
    Yes 0%No 100%
    0¢

Rules Summary

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Louisiana's 5th District by 18 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
May 5, 2026, 8:23 PM
Closes
Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-LA05R · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-LA05R-P18