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KalshiElections

Louisiana's 4th District margin of victory

Louisiana's 4th District

Ends Nov 3, 2027

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Republicans, 33+ pts0 VOL.
    Yes 0%No 100%
    0¢
  • Republicans, 36+ pts126.1 VOL.
    Yes 62%No 38%
    62¢
  • Republicans, 39+ pts98.5 VOL.
    Yes 51%No 49%
    51¢
  • Republicans, 42+ pts800 VOL.
    Yes 25%No 75%
    25¢
  • Republicans, 45+ pts1.3K VOL.
    Yes 20%No 80%
    20¢

Rules Summary

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Louisiana's 4th District by 33 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
May 5, 2026, 8:23 PM
Closes
Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-LA04R · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-LA04R-P33