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KalshiElections

Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Nithya Raman)

On Nov 3, 2026

Ends Nov 3, 2027

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Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Nithya Raman, ≥2%952.6 VOL.
    Yes 34%No 66%
    34¢
  • Nithya Raman, ≥4%765 VOL.
    Yes 31%No 69%
    31¢
  • Nithya Raman, ≥6%268 VOL.
    Yes 27%No 73%
    27¢
  • Nithya Raman, ≥8%319.3 VOL.
    Yes 19%No 81%
    19¢
  • Nithya Raman, ≥10%404 VOL.
    Yes 8%No 92%

Rules Summary

If the margin of victory for Nithya Raman in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within 2% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 6:00 PM
Closes
Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXLAMOV · Event KXLAMOV-KXMAYORLA26NRAM · Market KXLAMOV-KXMAYORLA26NRAM-NRAM-P51