KalshiElections
Los Angeles mayoral election margin of victory? (Karen Bass)
On Nov 3, 2026
Ends Nov 3, 2027
Bet NowDisclosure
18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.
Probability
- Karen Bass, ≥2%1.2K VOL.Yes 45%No 55%45¢
- Karen Bass, ≥4%2.5K VOL.Yes 34%No 66%34¢
- Karen Bass, ≥6%25.2 VOL.Yes 32%No 68%32¢
- Karen Bass, ≥8%11.8 VOL.Yes 27%No 73%27¢
- Karen Bass, ≥10%61.2 VOL.Yes 24%No 76%24¢
Rules Summary
If the margin of victory for Karen Bass in the 2026 Los Angeles mayoral election falls within 2% to 100%, inclusive of its lower bound and exclusive of its upper bound, then the market resolves to Yes.
Timeline and Payout
- Opened
- Jul 9, 2026, 6:00 PM
- Closes
- Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
- Pays out
- 0.5 hours after close
Series KXLAMOV · Event KXLAMOV-KXMAYORLA26KBAS · Market KXLAMOV-KXMAYORLA26KBAS-KBAS-P51