Bitcoin.com
KalshiElections

Kentucky Senate margin of victory

On November 3, 2026

Ends Nov 3, 2027

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Republicans, 12+ pts147 VOL.
    Yes 82%No 18%
    82¢
  • Republicans, 14+ pts74 VOL.
    Yes 92%No 8%
    92¢
  • Republicans, 16+ pts315 VOL.
    Yes 49%No 51%
    49¢
  • Republicans, 18+ pts315 VOL.
    Yes 41%No 59%
    41¢
  • Republicans, 20+ pts64.7 VOL.
    Yes 49%No 51%
    49¢

Rules Summary

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kentucky by 12 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 1:02 AM
Closes
Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-KYSENR · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-KYSENR-P12