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KalshiElections

Kansas Senate margin of victory

On November 3, 2026

Ends Nov 3, 2027

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Republicans, 3+ pts1.8K VOL.
    Yes 73%No 27%
    73¢
  • Republicans, 5+ pts2.3K VOL.
    Yes 60%No 40%
    60¢
  • Republicans, 7+ pts1.6K VOL.
    Yes 37%No 63%
    37¢
  • Republicans, 9+ pts2.8K VOL.
    Yes 27%No 73%
    27¢
  • Republicans, 11+ pts2.3K VOL.
    Yes 17%No 83%
    17¢

Rules Summary

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Kansas by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 1:02 AM
Closes
Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-KSSENR · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-KSSENR-P3