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KalshiElections

Kansas's 4th District margin of victory

Kansas's 4th District

Ends Nov 3, 2027

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Republicans, 8+ pts880 VOL.
    Yes 82%No 18%
    82¢
  • Republicans, 11+ pts650 VOL.
    Yes 73%No 27%
    73¢
  • Republicans, 14+ pts0 VOL.
    Yes 0%No 100%
    0¢
  • Republicans, 17+ pts302.7 VOL.
    Yes 54%No 46%
    54¢
  • Republicans, 20+ pts450 VOL.
    Yes 50%No 50%
    50¢

Rules Summary

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Kansas's 4th District by 8 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
May 5, 2026, 8:23 PM
Closes
Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-KS04R · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-KS04R-P8