KalshiElections
Kansas's 3rd District margin of victory
Kansas's 3rd District
Ends Nov 3, 2027
Bet NowDisclosure
18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.
Probability
- Democrats, 5+ pts1.6K VOL.Yes 94%No 7%94¢
- Democrats, 8+ pts2.8K VOL.Yes 90%No 10%90¢
- Democrats, 11+ pts2.6K VOL.Yes 79%No 21%79¢
- Democrats, 14+ pts3.8K VOL.Yes 65%No 35%65¢
- Democrats, 17+ pts1K VOL.Yes 49%No 51%49¢
Rules Summary
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Kansas's 3rd District by 5 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
Timeline and Payout
- Opened
- May 5, 2026, 8:23 PM
- Closes
- Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
- Pays out
- 0.5 hours after close
Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-KS03D · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-KS03D-P5

