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KalshiElections

Israeli legislative election: how many seats will Likud win?

On Oct 27, 2026

Ends Oct 27, 2027

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Above 1727 VOL.
    Yes 88%No 12%
    88¢
  • Above 205.1 VOL.
    Yes 84%No 16%
    84¢
  • Above 2357.3 VOL.
    Yes 71%No 29%
    71¢
  • Above 260 VOL.
    Yes 0%No 100%
    0¢
  • Above 293.4K VOL.
    Yes 4%No 96%
    4¢

Rules Summary

If Likud has won above 17 seats in the 2026 Israeli legislative election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Aug 11, 2026, 12:22 AM
Closes
Oct 27, 2027, 2:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXLIKUDCOUNT · Event KXLIKUDCOUNT-26OCT27 · Market KXLIKUDCOUNT-26OCT27-A17