Bitcoin.com
KalshiElections

Iowa Senate margin of victory

On November 3, 2026

Ends Nov 3, 2027

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Democrats, 2+ pts6.5K VOL.
    Yes 24%No 76%
    24¢
  • Democrats, 4+ pts4.8K VOL.
    Yes 12%No 88%
    12¢
  • Democrats, 6+ pts2.2K VOL.
    Yes 4%No 96%
    4¢

Rules Summary

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Iowa by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Apr 28, 2026, 1:02 AM
Closes
Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-IASEND · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-IASEND-P2