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KalshiElections

Iowa's 3rd District margin of victory

Iowa's 3rd District

Ends Nov 3, 2027

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Democrats, 2+ pts2.8K VOL.
    Yes 68%No 32%
    68¢
  • Democrats, 5+ pts573.6 VOL.
    Yes 43%No 57%
    43¢
  • Democrats, 8+ pts0 VOL.
    Yes 0%No 100%
    0¢
  • Democrats, 11+ pts1.3K VOL.
    Yes 15%No 85%
    15¢
  • Democrats, 14+ pts1.6K VOL.
    Yes 10%No 90%
    10¢

Rules Summary

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Iowa's 3rd District by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
May 5, 2026, 8:20 PM
Closes
Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-IA03D · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-IA03D-P2