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KalshiElections

Iowa's 2nd District margin of victory

Iowa's 2nd District

Ends Nov 3, 2027

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Republicans, 2+ pts451.3 VOL.
    Yes 43%No 57%
    43¢
  • Republicans, 5+ pts3 VOL.
    Yes 35%No 65%
    35¢
  • Republicans, 8+ pts122 VOL.
    Yes 20%No 80%
    20¢
  • Republicans, 11+ pts2 VOL.
    Yes 16%No 84%
    16¢
  • Republicans, 14+ pts362 VOL.
    Yes 9%No 91%
    9¢

Rules Summary

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Iowa's 2nd District by 2 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
May 5, 2026, 8:22 PM
Closes
Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-IA02R · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-IA02R-P2