KalshiElections
Iowa's 1st District margin of victory
Iowa's 1st District
Ends Nov 3, 2027
Bet NowDisclosure
18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.
Probability
- Republicans, 3+ pts2.1K VOL.Yes 23%No 77%23¢
- Republicans, 6+ pts2.2K VOL.Yes 14%No 86%14¢
- Republicans, 9+ pts1.3K VOL.Yes 9%No 91%9¢
Rules Summary
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Iowa's 1st District by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
Timeline and Payout
- Opened
- May 5, 2026, 8:20 PM
- Closes
- Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
- Pays out
- 0.5 hours after close
Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-IA01R · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-IA01R-P3

