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KalshiElections

Iowa's 1st District margin of victory

Iowa's 1st District

Ends Nov 3, 2027

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Democrats, 3+ pts108.8 VOL.
    Yes 65%No 35%
    65¢
  • Democrats, 6+ pts1.1K VOL.
    Yes 46%No 54%
    46¢
  • Democrats, 9+ pts0 VOL.
    Yes 0%No 100%
    0¢
  • Democrats, 12+ pts0 VOL.
    Yes 0%No 100%
    0¢
  • Democrats, 15+ pts1.8K VOL.
    Yes 4%No 96%
    4¢

Rules Summary

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Iowa's 1st District by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
May 5, 2026, 8:20 PM
Closes
Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-IA01D · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-IA01D-P3