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KalshiElections

Iowa Governor margin of victory

Iowa Governor

Ends Nov 3, 2027

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Democrats, 3+ pts5.3K VOL.
    Yes 57%No 43%
    57¢
  • Democrats, 6+ pts5K VOL.
    Yes 31%No 69%
    31¢
  • Democrats, 9+ pts5.9K VOL.
    Yes 21%No 79%
    21¢
  • Democrats, 12+ pts485.6 VOL.
    Yes 7%No 93%
    7¢
  • Democrats, 15+ pts87 VOL.
    Yes 4%No 96%
    4¢

Rules Summary

If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Iowa by 3 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Apr 29, 2026, 2:00 PM
Closes
Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-IAGOVD · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-IAGOVD-P3