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KalshiElections

Indiana's 4th District margin of victory

Indiana's 4th District

Ends Nov 3, 2027

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Republicans, 13+ pts100 VOL.
    Yes 96%No 4%
    96¢
  • Republicans, 16+ pts295 VOL.
    Yes 80%No 20%
    80¢
  • Republicans, 19+ pts555 VOL.
    Yes 80%No 20%
    80¢
  • Republicans, 22+ pts11.4 VOL.
    Yes 71%No 29%
    71¢
  • Republicans, 25+ pts0 VOL.
    Yes 0%No 100%
    0¢

Rules Summary

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Indiana's 4th District by 13 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
May 5, 2026, 8:23 PM
Closes
Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-IN04R · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-IN04R-P13