KalshiElections
Illinois Senate margin of victory
On November 3, 2026
Ends Nov 3, 2027
Bet NowDisclosure
18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.
Probability
- Democrats, 9+ pts0 VOL.Yes 0%No 100%0¢
- Democrats, 11+ pts0 VOL.Yes 0%No 100%0¢
- Democrats, 13+ pts0 VOL.Yes 0%No 100%0¢
- Democrats, 15+ pts0 VOL.Yes 0%No 100%0¢
- Democrats, 17+ pts607 VOL.Yes 55%No 45%55¢
Rules Summary
If the Democratic Party wins the 2026 U.S. Senate election in Illinois by 9 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
Timeline and Payout
- Opened
- Apr 28, 2026, 1:02 AM
- Closes
- Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
- Pays out
- 0.5 hours after close
Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-ILSEND · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-ILSEND-P9