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KalshiElections

Illinois's 16th District margin of victory

Illinois's 16th District

Ends Nov 3, 2027

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Republicans, 6+ pts27.8 VOL.
    Yes 83%No 17%
    83¢
  • Republicans, 9+ pts100 VOL.
    Yes 74%No 26%
    74¢
  • Republicans, 12+ pts0 VOL.
    Yes 0%No 100%
    0¢
  • Republicans, 15+ pts545 VOL.
    Yes 60%No 40%
    60¢
  • Republicans, 18+ pts755 VOL.
    Yes 51%No 49%
    51¢

Rules Summary

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Illinois's 16th District by 6 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
May 5, 2026, 8:23 PM
Closes
Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-IL16R · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-IL16R-P6