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KalshiElections

Illinois's 12th District margin of victory

Illinois's 12th District

Ends Nov 3, 2027

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Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Republicans, 26+ pts1.4K VOL.
    Yes 80%No 20%
    80¢
  • Republicans, 29+ pts74 VOL.
    Yes 70%No 30%
    70¢
  • Republicans, 32+ pts0 VOL.
    Yes 0%No 100%
    0¢
  • Republicans, 35+ pts0 VOL.
    Yes 0%No 100%
    0¢
  • Republicans, 38+ pts0 VOL.
    Yes 0%No 100%
    0¢

Rules Summary

If the Republican Party wins the 2026 U.S. House of Representatives election in Illinois's 12th District by 26 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
May 5, 2026, 8:23 PM
Closes
Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-IL12R · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-IL12R-P26