KalshiElections
Idaho Governor margin of victory
Idaho Governor
Ends Nov 3, 2027
Bet NowDisclosure
18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.
Probability
- Republicans, 18+ pts400 VOL.Yes 86%No 14%86¢
- Republicans, 21+ pts0 VOL.Yes 0%No 100%0¢
- Republicans, 24+ pts200 VOL.Yes 72%No 28%72¢
- Republicans, 27+ pts0 VOL.Yes 0%No 100%0¢
- Republicans, 30+ pts12.9 VOL.Yes 56%No 44%56¢
Rules Summary
If the Republican Party wins the 2026 gubernatorial election in Idaho by 18 percentage points or more, then the market resolves to Yes.
Timeline and Payout
- Opened
- Apr 29, 2026, 2:00 PM
- Closes
- Nov 3, 2027, 3:00 PM
- Pays out
- 0.5 hours after close
Series KXMIDTERMMOV · Event KXMIDTERMMOV-IDGOVR · Market KXMIDTERMMOV-IDGOVR-P18

