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KalshiClimate and Weather

Hurricane Marie category?

Hurricane Marie

Ends Dec 2, 2026

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Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • Category 1 or above279 VOL.
    Yes 99%No 1%
    99¢
  • Category 2 or above4.2K VOL.
    Yes 99%No 1%
    99¢
  • Category 3 or above3.2K VOL.
    Yes 1%No 99%
    1¢
  • Category 4 or above297.7 VOL.
    Yes 1%No 99%
    1¢
  • Category 5 or above97 VOL.
    Yes 1%No 99%
    1¢

Rules Summary

If Marie reaches maximum sustained winds of greater than or equal to 74 mph, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Aug 21, 2026, 6:30 PM
Closes
Dec 2, 2026, 4:59 AM
Pays out
1 hour after close

Series KXHURCAT · Event KXHURCAT-26MARIE · Market KXHURCAT-26MARIE-T1