KalshiClimate and Weather

How strong of an earthquake will occur worldwide before Sep 1, 2026?

Before Sep 1, 2026

Ends Aug 10, 2026

Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

6.8+188.2 VOL.
Yes 98%No 2%
98¢
6.9+26 VOL.
Yes 98%No 2%
98¢
7.0+201.9 VOL.
Yes 97%No 3%
97¢
7.1+1.8K VOL.
Yes 99%No 1%
99¢
7.2+1.3K VOL.
Yes 99%No 1%
99¢

Rules Summary

If an earthquake with a magnitude at least 6.8 on the Moment Magnitude Scale occurs with its epicenter in worldwide before Sep 1, 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened: Aug 10, 2026, 2:00 PM
Closes: Aug 10, 2026, 2:31 PM
Pays out: 0.5 hours after close

Series KXEARTHQUAKEM · Event KXEARTHQUAKEM-26AUG · Market KXEARTHQUAKEM-26AUG-68