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KalshiPolitics

How much government spending will Trump cut before 2027?

Before 2027

Ends Mar 31, 2027

Bet Now
Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • At least 50 billion23.5K VOL.
    Yes 5%No 95%
    5¢
  • At least 250 billion103.9K VOL.
    Yes 7%No 94%
    7¢
  • At least 500 billion42.7K VOL.
    Yes 3%No 97%
    3¢
  • At least 750 billion26.7K VOL.
    Yes 2%No 98%
    2¢
  • At least 1 trillion27.8K VOL.
    Yes 3%No 97%
    3¢

Rules Summary

If government spending (FGEXPND) is at least $50 billion below the Q4 2024 level in any quarter through Q4 2026, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Apr 6, 2026, 9:30 PM
Closes
Mar 31, 2027, 3:00 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXGOVTCUTS · Event KXGOVTCUTS-26 · Market KXGOVTCUTS-26-BILLIONB