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KalshiElections

How many UK parliamentary by-elections in 2026?

2026

Ends Aug 15, 2026

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Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

  • At least 5419 VOL.
    Yes 99%No 1%
    99¢
  • At least 68.9K VOL.
    Yes 99%No 1%
    99¢
  • At least 71.2K VOL.
    Yes 40%No 60%
    40¢
  • At least 8812 VOL.
    Yes 2%No 98%
  • At least 9763 VOL.
    Yes 3%No 97%

Rules Summary

If the total number of UK parliamentary by-elections with polling day scheduled and held in 2026 is at least 5, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened
Jul 9, 2026, 5:17 PM
Closes
Aug 15, 2026, 2:57 PM
Pays out
0.5 hours after close

Series KXUKBYELECTIONCOUNT · Event KXUKBYELECTIONCOUNT-27JAN01 · Market KXUKBYELECTIONCOUNT-27JAN01-AL5