KalshiElections

How many Trump-won districts will Democrats win in 2026?

November 3, 2026

Ends Dec 15, 2026

Disclosure

18+ only. Event contracts carry significant risk and are not suitable for everyone, you can lose the entire amount you commit. Not available in all jurisdictions; restrictions and eligibility requirements apply.

Probability

At least 105 VOL.
Yes 91%No 9%
91¢
At least 132 VOL.
Yes 85%No 15%
85¢
At least 16200 VOL.
Yes 86%No 14%
86¢
At least 192 VOL.
Yes 74%No 26%
74¢
At least 222 VOL.
Yes 68%No 32%
68¢

Rules Summary

If the number of Democratic U.S. House members elected from the 235 districts that Donald Trump carried in 2024 is at least 10 at the November 3, 2026 general election, then the market resolves to Yes.

Timeline and Payout

Opened: Aug 20, 2026, 2:00 PM
Closes: Dec 15, 2026, 2:59 PM
Pays out: 0.5 hours after close

Series KXTRUMPDEMDISTRICTS · Event KXTRUMPDEMDISTRICTS-26NOV03 · Market KXTRUMPDEMDISTRICTS-26NOV03-AL10